Archive for August 8th, 2007
It is my sad duty to inform all readers that this blog is retiring as of today. Our editorial priorites have gradually changed here at Weblogs, Inc., and while we are glad to have published in this space, the time has come to concentrate our resources elsewhere. As usual with our retired blogs, the Mortgages Weblog will remain visible and accessible, an archive of the excellent posts it holds. Thanks to everyone for reading!
(For fresh blogging about investing news, head over to the dynamic BloggingStocks.)
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There’s been quite a bit of talk over the exotic loans and their affects on homeowners’ equity lately. The more “leveling” we see in home values and prices over the next few years will have a great impact on how the loans will affect the borrower, and their ability to pay off the mortgage. Combine the “correcting” home values with the lack of payments toward the principal amount, factor in the borrowers’ stretched incomes, and you have a recipe for disaster.
The interest only or I/O loan was originally set up and geared towards someone who is financially set and well prepared for the purchase of a home. However, many borrowers “stretched their buying power” with the interest loan, using the bulk of their monthly income to pay the mortgage payments. People who would not otherwise have qualified for a loan - instantly became qualified. The changes and adjustments that the rates may bring, added to the fact that many of these loans are in areas with inflated housing prices, may cause many homeowners to lose their homes and walk away with nothing due to lack of equity built up during the I/O period.
I watched a home go from $250K skyrocket to a range of $450k to $500k in just two years, then “corrected” back down to $350,000 in just a few months. If during that time a buyer “stretched” their buying limits to afford the home at $450k, in less than six months they are owing $100,000 more than the home can sell for, and with rising rates - possibly a mortgage they are no longer comfortable with. Of course, don’t forget - there’s relatively no equity built up in the first few years, and none for the first 10 years if the borrower obtained an interest only mortgage. Just a hypothetical - yet very real example.
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Many homeowners around the world are turning to home equity loans, and home equity lines of credit, and even their IRAs and 401(K) funds to decrease or eliminate their credit card debt. Partly fueled by the recent growth in home equity and home values, partially due to lower interest rates on home loans, thousands of people per day are shifting their debt from their cards to their homes. While in some cases this can be beneficial, there are some very real hidden dangers to be aware of when chosing an option that involves taking from your home equity.
One thing that many borrowers are not aware of - or are chosing to ignore - is the definite possibility of homes in your area experiencing a “leveling off” of home values. While over the past few years the equity seemed to grow at an unreasonable rate - without much effort on the part of the borrower, that same equity could essentially disappear just as quickly. In addition to leveling home values, most ARMs are scheduled to begin to reset as early as 2007, and many homeowners will find themselves with a much higher monthly mortgage payment. For those who have a large enough monthly income to compensate for the higher payments, the jump in interest rates may not have as severe of an effect. But most borrowers will experience payment shock - even without adding in the credit card debt, and have a hard time with the monthly payments.
If a borrower has a low monthly payment now, and a higher than normal property value - it can cause a false sense of security, and lead to choices that would not otherwise be made based on the equity in the home. One of the most important thing to remember, is that there are collectors paid to collect on the credit card debt, and by not making the monthly payments on the debt - you could have your cards taken away. When you struggle to pay your monthly mortgage payments, the price is much higher - you could eventually lose your home. Taking the extreme risk of paying off credit card debt may seem like a wise decision due to the difference in interest rates between credit cards and mortgages, but weighing your options as well as the risks may save your home. And the biggest danger of all?? Most Americans who use their home equity to pay off their credit card debt refuse to change their habits and lifestyles, and actually see their zero-balance cards as an invitation to go shopping - perpetuating the cycle. However, in this cycle, there is one detrimental factor - home values will probably not continue to experience the rise, leaving the borrower with very few recovery options for the future.
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With so many Americans living with a false sense of security (called home equity), it’s no wonder that spending has risen to an all time high. If it’s not the pressure to take out a home equity loan to pay off credit card debt, there’s the pressure of wanting the big kid toys like boats, cars, and oversized electronics. But what has fueled this excess spending? In part - inflated home values - in which homeowners can borrow money against their equity. The problem is, in some areas of the country, the equity in their homes is due to a temporary “bloating” of the value. This equity used to be viewed as security for the retirement years, but more and more individuals are watching their equity dwindle away while experiencing the rising debt on their home, and payments extending into their golden years. In a world where reality TV is a new form of entertainment, it’s like watching a high-stakes game of “reality Monopoly”.
Here’s just a brief example I was able to witness in my lifetime: A home was purchased around 1970 for a price in the $40k range, and a 30-year mortgage with a monthly payment of around $80. By the mid 90’s, the home was nearly paid off, but the car was getting old. The logical solution seemed to be at the time to take out a home equity loan, and buy a new car. Why not - it was becoming an increasingly popular way of obtaining the things that would otherwise not be affordable. Several years later, another new car, then an expensive sewing machine, and finally - a cruise with friends. Today - the home is valued around $300k, and the total monthly payment is in the range of $700. Not one of the more extreme examples, but a great example of the way homeowners view their home equity as a checking account - rather than a savings account.
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There are many types of mortgage fraud, but to raise awareness about this extremely rampant crime - we all need to be aware of the different types of fraud that are used. As one of our readers pointed out, there are FBI agents that are currently pursuing individuals and groups who are not only committing crimes with full intention of defrauding their customers, but they are also actively investigating common documentation “errors” that can be construed as mortgage fraud.
While not all mortgage professionals are intentionally participating in criminal activity, the only way to stop the “mistakes” that can lead to criminal prosecution is to become truly educated in the mortgage process, and make sure that all the documentation is correct and complete. It is extremely important that the lender or broker provide copies of ALL documentation.
As a consumer, the best protection that you can give yourself is education. Read all documentation BEFORE you sign. Don’t just trust that your mortgage broker or lender is going to be completely honest with you. Remember - their paycheck depends on the outcome of the transaction. If you feel uncomfortable, don’t give in to pressure, you must feel comfortable with every aspect of the purchase, and may even be in your best interest to have an attorney go over the documents before you sign. If you are put into a position in which you do feel overly pressured, there may be a problem - there may be a hidden agenda that is in the works, and you have every right to take some extra time to read through the disclosures and the documents that you are signing. The key is education - so if you don’t understand something, ask questions until you do.
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Filed under: Interest rates, Mortgage servicing
The option ARM became very popular, and with the real estate rush that we experienced over the past years, it’s no wonder how so many people became wrapped up in the many types of creative loans for buyers to choose from. However, the option ARM wasn’t intended to be used by buyers who “wanted more house for their money” - it was created as a good choice for investers and homeowners who were not going to own the home for very long. But the majority of buyers who are now stuck with this type of loan were exactly the buyers who should have been wary of the option ARM.
But in reality, rates have begun to rise and home values are dropping in many areas, and the option ARM has become more of a danger than it looked to be in the past. With an option ARM, there are several choices for the monthly payment, but the choice that poses the most risk is to pay the minimum due. This would be a similar risk to paying your credit card off by simply making the minimum payments. If you pay the minimum paymnet on your credit card, you would end up with a balance that is greater than the original charges. This would be exactly the result on an option ARM in which the homeowner paid just the minimum payment option.
Most borrowers with the opton ARM are opting to pay just the minimum payment, and are putting their homes at risk. The minimum payment is usually calculated using the first month’s interest rate, generally a low “teaser rate” as low as 1-2%. When the monthly payments are not even covering the total amount of interest that is accumulating, the balance of the loan continues to grow, while the value of the home may not be rising as quickly as the balance due. Any unpaid interest is added to the principal, and the total of both are then used to calculate future payments. This is called negative amortization, which can present only problems for both the borrower and the lender.
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There are two main factors that determine how much equity you have in a home: The value of the home, and the amount owed on the home. In other words, if you have a property that is valued at $250,000 and a mortgage loan on which you owe $175,000 then you have $75,000 equity in your home. Since the amount of the loan in a 125% leaves the buyer with no equity, and in most loans, owing more than the home is worth, these loans generally pose the greatest risk and are not usually offered by most lenders. If the homeowner defaults on the mortgage, and the lender forecloses on the property, the lender will require the homeowner to repay the difference - and lose the home.
The present danger with the 125% loan is that many homes values are not rising at the pace they once were. This not only poses a problem for the homeowner, but for the lender as well. At this juncture, if there are lenders out there that are still offering home loans that are above the value of the home, this should be considered a red flag - unless you are taking out the loan to make major improvements on the home that will definitely raise the value of the home.
Some states actually have laws that prevent lenders from loaning out more than the value of the home. Tax deductions are not available on any part of a home equity loan that exceeds the fair market value of the home. The IRS has been monitoring the 125% loans with a watchful eye, making sure than homeowners aren’t incorrectly trying to write off too much interest.
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Filed under: News by state
In May of 2006 the national foreclosure numbers came in with a grand total of 62,432. This number quickly jumped up by 7.4% with one in 1,726 households in foreclosure by June. While the total number for June topped out at 67,024 - six states have made up for more than half of the nations total.
Texas, Florida, Georgia, Ohio, and Illinois hold rates higher than the national average. California also made it into the top six states, with an increase of 19%. These six states together account for over 37,000 of the national foreclosure totals. In June alone, Texas had the highest foreclosure rate, totalling 12,693 - a 69% increase from May, raising the state’s foreclosure rate to 2.7 times the national average.
This data was compiled using RealtyTrac, and many have speculated that these numbers are a small indication of what we may be seeing in the years 2007 and 2008 due to the large numbers of mortgage resets scheduled to begin in January. So far, there is very little to indicate that these numbers are not a forecast of what is to come. With the great number of exotic loans and interest only mortgages in the hands of homeowners that are already financially strapped, there is a great chance that these numbers will continue to rise, and many will find foreclosure unavoidable.
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Filed under: Mortgage servicing
So over the next few years, many mortgage holders will find that their mailboxes may be filling up with offers to help you refinance your mortgage. This is a serious time to consider your options. If you have a mortgage that has a low introductory rate, and you are nervous that your interest rate may rise out of control - you may actually be a prime candidate for the opportunity to break out of the adjustable rate mortgage. Although there are many people that are actually benefiting from the ARM - if your payments are already as much as you can handle - consider your options before the mortgage resets. When this happens, (for many borrowers, this could as much as double the payments) the payment shock can be overwhelming, and many borrowers could be in danger of default.
There are options that can prevent the drastic rate hike, and talking to a lender or broker that you trust can be the best option available. If you don’t already have someone you trust, ask your friends and family. If you still don’t have anyone you can talk to, the best thing you could do would be to talk to several mortgage and loan companies. Don’t take the first answer you get as written in stone, you should definitely shop around. Also, don’t be afraid to tell them that you are shopping around, you may actually get a better response, and a fair quote. Some loan officers will quote you the low introductory rates, and then you are subject to the same problems you may already have been experiencing. Not all mortgages are the same, and not all of them work in the same way. Use a mortgage calculator to come up with some figures that you are comfortable with, and then bring those figures to your lender. Discuss the possibilities with your loan officer, there are definitely things you can do to prevent disaster before your mortgage resets.
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Filed under: Mortgage servicing
When you make the decision to purchase a home, there are generally three types of financing you can opt to use to pay for the home: Cash, owner-carry, or obtaining a loan from a mortgage broker, lender, or loan officer. Chances are that you are least likely to pay cash, finding an owner to finance the purchase limits your choices in which home you would like to buy, which leaves the most popular choice: a mortgage loan. There is one very important thing to remember when looking for a lender or mortgage company - they are in the “sales” business. This is not to say that there aren’t honest mortgage professionals in the industry - because there are many truly honest mortgage professionals. But because your purchase means part of your purchase price will include the paychecks of several individuals.
There are many loan officers and brokers that would like you to believe that they are not in a sales related industry, but that would be far from the truth. The reality is that all mortgage brokers, lenders, and loan officers have products that they offer, and if they are a successful sales person, their customers will “buy” their products. I have been involved in the mortgage industry for a long time, however, I believe that consumers have the right to make an informed decision about their purchases. I found a very commonly worded advertisement on Craigslist.org this evening, and thought that I would share something that I found interesting (and common) in the ad.
“Credit score is a big factor as a qualifying tool, but it’s not the only one. There is a lot more to it than that and I would be happy to go over with and show you your options. You may qualify for more than you think. So give me a call for a complete NO cost evaluation even if you simply have questions.” The first thought when I read the ad is that there are people out there that have bad credit, which could indicate that a buyer is not financially stable, and they are offering to find the most money available for a buyer’s purchase. Okay, so in other words, more debt on an already financially strapped individual.first time buyer who does not know what they can or cannot afford, it may mean they are more likely to end up with a low introductory rate that leads to a future rate hike - and a mortgage payment that they can’t afford to maintain.
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