Archive for December 24th, 2007

Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual funds, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

“For a conservative investor who wants to incur only low to moderate risk, I would recommend a well-established mutual fund, the Fidelity Puritan Fund (NASDAQ: FPURX), as my top pick for 2008,” says Leonard Goodall, CFA and editor of No-Load Portfolios.

“This is a balanced fund, with a portfolio that includes about 67% stocks, 26% in bonds and the rest mainly in cash. A major problem for most mutual fund investors is that the return they actually receive from a fund is well below the announced return on the fund.

“This is because they make bad-timing decisions. They buy the fund after it has run up in price and then sell it after it has suffered a downturn.

“The researchers at Morningstar have produced some work recently that suggests that for balanced funds the return that investors actually achieve is closer to the announced return of the fund than for most other types of funds.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Balanced gains with Fidelity Puritan Fund (FPURX)

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Filed under: Israel

The British Pound sank to new all-time lows against the Euro, as the market is counting on more interest rate cuts in the UK. What is interesting to note that with all the cynics out there saying how lousy the US economy is and that the Dollar is a “has-been” currency, it’s not the only major currency to get hit.

This news follows the Bank of Israel raising rates by 0.25%, this move was made in part to slow down potential inflation. The currency markets are at a crossroads. In some countries the dreaded inflation has already arrived, and central banks have no choice but to raise rates. Other countries are doing their utmost to stay out of recession and have relaxed a tight money policy, trying to create more money supply.

2008 promises to be an exciting year in the Forex markets as the inflation/slow growth war is played out among the world’s currencies.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/24/07.

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Filed under: Products and services, Consumer experience, Walt Disney (DIS), Headline news, Film

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) got a nice present today in the form of the nation’s number one movie, National Treasure: Book of Secrets.

The sequel to the 2004 blockbuster, National Treasure, National Treasure: Book of Secrets had a monster weekend, with $45.5 million in sales. Nicolas Cage is once again the leading man in this movie, and in this thriller, Cage’s character, Ben Gates, is in a struggle to clear the name of an ancestor that has been implicated in the murder of Abraham Lincoln’s assassination.

If the first installment of this series is any indication, Disney could be seeing some pretty big numbers from this movie before it is all said and done. When National Treasure debuted in 2004 the movie raked in $35.1 million and ended up with a total of $173 million at the box office.

Continue reading Nicolas Cage helps give Disney a holiday present

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Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual funds, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

“The market is looking increasingly fragile — and our top pick for 2008 is a stellar investment that has all the makings of a bear-market killer: The Vice Fund (VICEX),” says Eric Roseman, editor of Commodity Trend Alert.

“This fund will do well as long as people continue to drink, smoke and gamble. The fund might not be the most wholesome investment in your portfolio, but it sure earns a big score for making bundles of dough from many industries currently shunned by investors and portfolio managers.

“And best of all, as the economy contracts, stocks in its highly concentrated and aggressive portfolio usually grow their corporate earnings while the broader market corrects. Bull or bear, it doesn’t matter. The Vice Fund can generate profits in any economic environment — provided people continue to gamble, drink and smoke.

“Launched in 2002, the Vice Fund is advised by Mutual Advisors, Inc, a small outfit with $177 million under management. But its size is actually highly advantageous to investors because of its ability to quickly enter and close trades and buy some companies that might be thinly traded.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Bad habits lead to good gains for Vice Fund (VICEX)

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Filed under: Good news, Technical Analysis, Blackstone Group L.P (BX), Stocks to Buy

Celanese Corporation (NYSE: CE) is engaged in the production and sale of industrial chemicals. Its primary operations include the manufacture of building block substances like acetic acid and vinyl acetate monomers. The firm’s products are used in the manufacture of such diverse materials as paints, adhesives, textiles, solvents, filter products and food sweeteners. Celanese operates primarily in North America, Europe, and Asia. The The Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX) is a major owner.

The company pleased investors earlier in the month, when it said it anticipated fiscal year (FY) 07 EPS of $3.26 to $3.31. Analysts had been expecting $3.21. Management also issued FY08 EPS guidance in-line with the Street view. Among the developments Celanese cited in support of its outlook were the launch of acetic acid and emulsions units at its Nanjing complex. The company also announced plans to add a polymer compounding unit at that location. The news popped the shares out of an early December “cup” into the late December “handle” of a Cup & Handle formation. The price is now showing signs of completing the pattern with a bullish rise from the right-hand side of the “handle”.

Brokers recommend the issue with four “strong buys”, five “buys” and two “holds”. Analysts expect a twelve percent growth rate, through the next year. The CE Price to Sales ratio (1.01), Price to Cash Flow ratio (12.80), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (30.54), EPS Growth rate (48.73%) and Return on Equity (32.46%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Over the past twelve months, CE has traded between $24.50 and $44.77. A stop-loss of $37.00 looks good here. Note that the firm is expected to release Q4 results in early February.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

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Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

“My top speculative idea for 2008 is Kinetic Concepts (NYSE: KCI), which makes products for advanced wound care and other therapeutic applications,” says quantitative analyst Vahan Janjigian, editor of The Forbes Growth Investor.

“KCI’s therapeutic categories include advanced products for wound care and tissue repair, which accounted for 79% of first half 2007 revenues.

“The company’s proprietary Vacuum Assisted Closure (VAC) technology uses negative pressure wound therapy (NPWT) to treat and promote healing in acute and chronic wounds caused by severe trauma, failed surgical closures, amputations, and serious pressure ulcers.

“VAC systems consist of a pump that provides a controlled level of negative pressure to the wound, foam dressings, occlusive drapes and specialized canisters that collect body fluids, filter odors, and facilitate the safe disposal of medical waste.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Kinetic Concepts (KCI) advances wound care

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Filed under: International markets, Russia, Newsletters, Eastern Europe, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

“My favorite conservative pick for 2008 is Mobile TeleSystems (NYSE: MBT), the largest cellular operator in Eastern Europe, with 50 million subscribers,” says Yiannis Mostrous in The Silk Road Investor.

“The company has licenses in 87 Russian regions, Ukraine, Belarus, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, covering a population of more than 233 million people. Russia accounts for almost 80% of consolidated revenue, while Ukraine is the second largest contributor.

“This is a company that offers good exposure to Russia’s domestic demand growth. Russia is currently in a sweet spot: It’s a net oil exporter, has good GDP growth, isn’t dependent on foreign capital flows, is relatively stable politically, boasts reasonable market valuations and, above all, enjoys solid exposure to the biggest growth story of our time, Asia.

“Mobile Telesystems will continue to experience strong growth given the regional economic strength. Its valuations are still reasonable and it actually trades at a discount to a lot of its peers in the emerging market universe. This should make it a stock to own going into what is shaping up to be an uncertain New Year.

“The company’s investments in its various markets have started producing positive results and it also continues to consolidate operations while taking advantage of market growth. Buy Mobile TeleSystems up to $110.”

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Filed under: International markets, Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2008

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

“My favorite aggressive idea for 2008 is an exchange-traded fund, the New Ireland Fund (NYSE: IRL),” says Carl Delfeld, president of global investment advisory firm Chartwell Partners.

The advisor explains, “New Ireland Fund is a position in Chartwell’s Country Rotation Portfolio. It has been hit hard lately due to concerns about Ireland’s real estate slowdown and banking concerns.

“During the last month it has lost 30% and is trading at $22 compared to a 52-week high of $38. The top two companies in the fund are CRH PLC at 16% and Irish Allied Bank at 15%.

“The other holdings are fairly evenly distributed. Markets have overreacted leading to very attractive entry point for more speculative investors.”

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Filed under: Yahoo! (YHOO), Business of sports

With the newspaper industry in decline and big layoffs at a lot of big newspapers, this is a tough time to be a journalist. But someone forgot to tell that to the elite sportswriters who, according to The New York Times, are receiving offers of double or triple what they earned at newspapers to write for Yahoo! Sports (NASDAQ: YHOO) and ESPN. Even Sports Illustrated lost star columnist Rick Reilly to ESPN — for a reported $3 million per year.

The Times quotes sports agent Leigh Steinberg: “It’s the exact same model as what happened to athletes. We’re seeing free agency for sports journalists.”

In spite of all the complaining and gnashing of teeth about the decline of journalism, I would argue that the internet is the best thing that has happened to the industry in a long time. The rise of aggregators and syndication has probably created a decline in the number of reporter jobs available — but less duplication of efforts is good.

Continue reading Sportswriters in demand as Yahoo, ESPN poach from print media

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Filed under: Earnings reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Technical Analysis, Eaton Corp (ETN), Stocks to Buy

Whether it’s tools, or complex engineered solutions, some folks just know electro-hydraulics. There is an outfit in Butler, Wisconsin that has been engineering answers along that line for 97 years.

Actuant Corporation (NYSE: ATU) is engaged in the manufacture and marketing of industrial products and systems. Its Tools and Supplies group offers high-force hydraulic tools, electrical tools and electrical consumables to the general industrial, construction, production automation and do-it-yourself retail markets. Its Engineered Solutions group provides motion control systems for the heavy-duty truck market. These include recreational vehicle slide-outs and leveling systems, heavy truck cab-tilt systems and electro-hydraulic convertible top actuation systems. Eaton Corporation (NYSE: ETN) is a major competitor.

The company surprised the Street last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 52 cents and revenues of $415.1 million. Analysts had been looking for 48 cents and $394.7 million. In discussing the solid numbers, the CEO cited “robust industrial segment sales as well as continued strength in the European truck market.” Management also guided Q2 EPS to 39-42 cents (42 cent consensus), Q2 revenues to $385-$395 million ($379.56M consensus), FY08 EPS to $1.95-$2.05 ($1.96M consensus) and FY08 revenues to $1.62-$1.66 billion ($1.6B consensus). BMO Capital Markets subsequently reiterated its “outperform” rating on the issue and boosted its price target to $40. ATU shares popped on the news and then moved into the initial stage of a bullish “flag” consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Continue reading Actuant Corporation: Fluid solutions

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