Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Management, Google (GOOG), eBay (EBAY), Amazon.com (AMZN), Bear Stearns Cos (BSC)

eBay logoMarketWatch writer Dan Gallagher offered a brief synopsis of comments by Bear Stearns analyst Robert Peck in reaction to Peck’s January 17 upgrade of eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY). In my opinion, Gallagher was too kind with his writing. Peck’s comments are a weak attempt to cloud perceptions, nothing more. Let’s take a look at some of those words, shall we?

In using a pendulum metaphor, Peck refers to eBay investors as being either greedy or fearful. I believe that to mean he thinks investors who sold in the $40 range were greedy and investors who are now resisting the $30 mark live in fear. I give more credit to the investors in their reaction to issues we’ve discussed. Mr.Peck seems to think they’ve overreacted on both ends.

Robert Peck offered the statement that, “eBay’s issues have been overly accounted for” as if eBay’s issues comprise a tangible, one time composite. I’ll tell you as fact that eBay’s negative issues are active and on going. You’ve read the news and I think you sense that there’s much pressure coming in. Amazon clipped eBay’s holiday season page views. Ticket selling competitors are on the prowl. Skype still flounders without declared intent and Meg Whitman is now toying with exit plans.

Peck concedes that eBay could be affected by changes in consumer spending due to recession but he would like us to believe that increased bargain hunting will offset possible negative affects. What he doesn’t mention is that a bargain binge could deeply affect the bottom line of PayPal, eBay’s lion-hearted revenue generator. We must also not forget that a checkout service has taken hold via Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) and now we’re hearing whispers of increased payment services from Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN).

Continue reading Bear Stearns analyst is barking up the wrong tree

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