Filed under: Indices, Market matters, Technical Analysis, Commodities

Although they’ve given back a bit of ground lately, commodity prices have performed well during the past year. Since last February, the benchmark Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index has gained 21.8%, aided in particular by strength in agricultural, energy and precious metals-related products.

One group of commodities, base (or industrial) metals — which includes aluminum, zinc and copper — has not kept pace with the others, however. Over the past twelve months, the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index-Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Excess Return Index — which has an exchange-traded fund, the PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund ETF (AMEX: DBB) — has only risen 2.1%.

Continue reading Base metals: Ready to run

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Filed under: Economic data, Politics, Headline news, Recession

American President George Bush announced his new budget spending plan today, and the package came out to a total of $3.1 trillion.

Today’s federal budget proposal marks the first time in America’s history that a budget plan has been in excess of $3 trillion. Bush claims that his budget is “good” and “solid” and that the passing of this budget will help keep the troubled American economy growing.

All in all, this budget looks to lift government spending by 6% during the fiscal year 2009, and it will probably come to no one’s surprise that defense gets a nice little boost from today’s budget. Bush is looking to allocate 8.2% of his spending on security, and the budget is looking to stake a $70 billion “placeholder” for war costs during 2009. The Pentagon should be pleased with its figures, as Bush is looking to allocate $515.4 billion its way… the highest allocation since WWII (and represents a 7.5% jump).

Continue reading Bush announces new $3.1 trillion budget plan

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Filed under: Indices, Market matters, Technical Analysis, Commodities

Although they’ve given back a bit of ground lately, commodity prices have performed well during the past year. Since last February, the benchmark Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index has gained 21.8%, aided in particular by strength in agricultural, energy and precious metals-related products.

One group of commodities, base (or industrial) metals — which includes aluminum, zinc and copper — has not kept pace with the others, however. Over the past twelve months, the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index-Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Excess Return Index — which has an exchange-traded fund, the PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund ETF (AMEX: DBB) — has only risen 2.1%.

Continue reading Base metals: Ready to run

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Filed under: AT and T (T), Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE), Procter and Gamble (PG), Stocks to Buy

Awhile back, amid the subprime default fall-out, more-somber outlook for the U.S. economy and hence, the markets, yours truly suggested that investors increase the number of defensive stocks in their portfolios. In doing so I drew on a lesson offered by my late Uncle Nick, a lifelong New York Giants fan and season ticket holder. The wisdom:

In tough times, think established companies. Something, as my Uncle Nick would say, “As strong as the New York Giants’ defensive front four.” And I added that in case one hadn’t noticed lately, the defensive front four of the Giants, also the favorite football team of yours truly, is still pretty good.

(My late Uncle Nick, of course, based his advise on the Giants’ longstanding tradition of building a strong defense first, because, according to many revered football head coaches, Vince Lombardi and Bill Parcells among them, defense wins championships.)

Continue reading A “Giant” lesson for investors: In tough times, think defense

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Filed under: Economic data, Politics, Headline news, Recession

American President George Bush announced his new budget spending plan today, and the package came out to a total of $3.1 trillion.

Today’s federal budget proposal marks the first time in America’s history that a budget plan has been in excess of $3 trillion. Bush claims that his budget is “good” and “solid” and that the passing of this budget will help keep the troubled American economy growing.

All in all, this budget looks to lift government spending by 6% during the fiscal year 2009, and it will probably come to no one’s surprise that defense gets a nice little boost from today’s budget. Bush is looking to allocate 8.2% of his spending on security, and the budget is looking to stake a $70 billion “placeholder” for war costs during 2009. The Pentagon should be pleased with its figures, as Bush is looking to allocate $515.4 billion its way… the highest allocation since WWII (and represents a 7.5% jump).

Continue reading Bush announces new $3.1 trillion budget plan

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Filed under: Management, Consumer experience, Competitive strategy, Starbucks (SBUX), Employees, Best Stocks for 2008

Howard Schultz is back in charge of Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX), and as expected lowered expectations for the current fiscal year. He took the opportunity with the mediocre December quarterly results to tamp down expectations and won’t even issue guidance. A very smart and predictable move by the founder and visionary of Starbucks. This is a tough environment for Starbucks as well as many other retail concepts. Let’s face it, theme concepts are competing for the consumers’ shrinking wallet and need to stick to their core values and competitive advantages. Well, Howard, please read this and I think it may help your efforts.

Dear Howard,

I personally love Starbucks as a consumer of fine coffee and have bought its products from probably 250 different Starbucks stores around the world. To this day Howard, your Minnetonka, Minnesota, store should serve as your model for the other 11,000+ store. The manager of the Minnetonka store is Mario Macaruso and if enthusiasm and commitment could be bottled–Mario’s is worth a billion.. His partners at the store are fabulous. Andrea Breen, a single mother of 3 growing and time-consuming kids, has an attitude that makes every customer feel special. Patty McGarrigle superbly handles every complicated drink order like a pro and always with a smile. When they are not busy with customers, they are looking for ways to make the store cleaner or more organized. They represent the type of partners every Starbucks store should strive for.

Continue reading An open letter to Starbucks’ Howard Schultz

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Filed under: AT and T (T), Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE), Procter and Gamble (PG), Stocks to Buy

Awhile back, amid the subprime default fall-out, more-somber outlook for the U.S. economy and hence, the markets, yours truly suggested that investors increase the number of defensive stocks in their portfolios. In doing so I drew on a lesson offered by my late Uncle Nick, a lifelong New York Giants fan and season ticket holder. The wisdom:

In tough times, think established companies. Something, as my Uncle Nick would say, “As strong as the New York Giants’ defensive front four.” And I added that in case one hadn’t noticed lately, the defensive front four of the Giants, also the favorite football team of yours truly, is still pretty good.

(My late Uncle Nick, of course, based his advise on the Giants’ longstanding tradition of building a strong defense first, because, according to many revered football head coaches, Vince Lombardi and Bill Parcells among them, defense wins championships.)

Continue reading A “Giant” lesson for investors: In tough times, think defense

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Filed under: Deals, China, Israel

In what’s becoming more and more common, a small Israeli company Silicom Ltd. (NASDAQ: SILC) announced that it has received a $1.8 million order from one of China’s largest domestic server companies, representing its first significant penetration into the vast Chinese market. The order is for production quantities of Silicom’s advanced fiber multi-port Gigabit Ethernet adapters scheduled for delivery during the first quarter.

“We are excited to achieve this significant initial penetration of the strategic Chinese market,” commented Shaike Orbach, Silicom’s President and CEO. “China’s rapid growth represents a huge new opportunity for Silicom, especially the fact that its server usage is growing in step with the phenomenal development of its telecom, transportation, banking and other sectors. In fact, according to CCID Consulting, more than half a million x86 servers were sold in China in 2007, with additional strong growth projected for 2008.”

Silicom stock is up strongly on the news. Silicom is the latest Israeli company to break into the Chinese market, and I would expect the trend to continue. With Israeli Venture Capital firms doing joint ventures with Chinese investment firms, we should see more and more hi-tech deals being signed between the two countries.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has a position and owns stock in SILC and is long the stock.He has no positions in any other stock mentioned as of 2/4/08.

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Filed under: Management, Consumer experience, Competitive strategy, Starbucks (SBUX), Employees, Best Stocks for 2008

Howard Schultz is back in charge of Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX), and as expected lowered expectations for the current fiscal year. He took the opportunity with the mediocre December quarterly results to tamp down expectations and won’t even issue guidance. A very smart and predictable move by the founder and visionary of Starbucks. This is a tough environment for Starbucks as well as many other retail concepts. Let’s face it, theme concepts are competing for the consumers’ shrinking wallet and need to stick to their core values and competitive advantages. Well, Howard, please read this and I think it may help your efforts.

Dear Howard,

I personally love Starbucks as a consumer of fine coffee and have bought its products from probably 250 different Starbucks stores around the world. To this day Howard, your Minnetonka, Minnesota, store should serve as your model for the other 11,000+ store. The manager of the Minnetonka store is Mario Macaruso and if enthusiasm and commitment could be bottled–Mario’s is worth a billion.. His partners at the store are fabulous. Andrea Breen, a single mother of 3 growing and time-consuming kids, has an attitude that makes every customer feel special. Patty McGarrigle superbly handles every complicated drink order like a pro and always with a smile. When they are not busy with customers, they are looking for ways to make the store cleaner or more organized. They represent the type of partners every Starbucks store should strive for.

Continue reading An open letter to Starbucks’ Howard Schultz

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Filed under: Deals, China, Israel

In what’s becoming more and more common, a small Israeli company Silicom Ltd. (NASDAQ: SILC) announced that it has received a $1.8 million order from one of China’s largest domestic server companies, representing its first significant penetration into the vast Chinese market. The order is for production quantities of Silicom’s advanced fiber multi-port Gigabit Ethernet adapters scheduled for delivery during the first quarter.

“We are excited to achieve this significant initial penetration of the strategic Chinese market,” commented Shaike Orbach, Silicom’s President and CEO. “China’s rapid growth represents a huge new opportunity for Silicom, especially the fact that its server usage is growing in step with the phenomenal development of its telecom, transportation, banking and other sectors. In fact, according to CCID Consulting, more than half a million x86 servers were sold in China in 2007, with additional strong growth projected for 2008.”

Silicom stock is up strongly on the news. Silicom is the latest Israeli company to break into the Chinese market, and I would expect the trend to continue. With Israeli Venture Capital firms doing joint ventures with Chinese investment firms, we should see more and more hi-tech deals being signed between the two countries.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has a position and owns stock in SILC and is long the stock.He has no positions in any other stock mentioned as of 2/4/08.

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