Filed under: Earnings reports, Analyst reports, Bad news, Google (GOOG)

Fred Hickey, the editor of High Tech Strategist, is saying Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) will have a very large earnings miss this quarter followed by “more disappointments to come,” according to Barron’s.

What happens then? The fall-out from weaker earnings is likely to lower the P/E multiple, dropping from 25 to, perhaps, 20. At that level, Google could fall below $350, and it could happen fast.

Google may have ended its run as Wall Street’s darling.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Earnings reports, Analyst reports, Bad news, Google (GOOG)

Fred Hickey, the editor of High Tech Strategist, is saying Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) will have a very large earnings miss this quarter followed by “more disappointments to come,” according to Barron’s.

What happens then? The fall-out from weaker earnings is likely to lower the P/E multiple, dropping from 25 to, perhaps, 20. At that level, Google could fall below $350, and it could happen fast.

Google may have ended its run as Wall Street’s darling.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Research in Motion (RIMM), Technology, NASDAQ

Monday marks the 8th anniversary of the NASDAQ reaching its’ all time high. I remember the day quite clearly as it was a Friday and I got married on that Sunday. From March 10th 2000 to early Oct. 2002, the NASDAQ dropped about 78%, even with a bit of a comeback over the last five years, the index is still sitting over 55% under the all time high.

In fact since the recent high at the end of October, the index has shed more than 22%. What does all this mean? While we may not see a return to all-time NASDAQ highs for another decade, the index has again gotten very cheap. It could be that the index is setting up for a move to the upside. After all, this past Friday, the NASDAQ easily outperformed the DOW, and I think we are going to start seeing a rotation into technology names.

Tech earnings haven’t been to bad. All the pundits will say that with a recession, tech spending will get cut. Go into your nearest Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) store and there are no signs of a recession. Check out the earnings for Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), things look okay. Heck, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is starting to look interesting as a value stock.

It may not happen tomorrow, but for long-term investors, technology maybe a place to think about investing.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/9/08.

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Filed under: Forecasts, Industry, Competitive strategy, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM)

Volkswagen says that by 2010 it can produce 10 million vehicles and pass Toyota (NYSE: TM) and General Motors (NYSE: GM) as the world’s largest car company. According to the Sunday Times, “To those who suggest that closing a 3m vehicle gap (Toyota produced 9.4m last year) is a very tall order, company management explains that, in 2006, the number of conventional passenger cars made by Volkswagen and Toyota was fairly similar — 5.2m for Volkswagen and 5.5m for Toyota — and that the difference is made up by 4×4s, ‘people carriers’ and light trucks.”

Volkswagen only recently introduced a full range of these multi-purpose vehicles, which will play an important part in its future growth

VW may find that things don’t go as planned. As a new entrant to the pick-up and SUV markets, the company will find global competition for not just Toyota and GM, but also Ford (NYSE: F), Nissan, and Honda (NYSE: HMC). Most large countries also have local car manufacturers who may not be anxious to give up a large piece of their business.

While VW may have a chance to get a reasonable piece of the auto sales in huge countries like China, it has almost no market share in the world’s largest car-buying nation, the U.S. Taking away business from a desperate company like Ford and a successful company like Toyota may be nearly impossible.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Forecasts, Industry, Competitive strategy, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM)

Volkswagen says that by 2010 it can produce 10 million vehicles and pass Toyota (NYSE: TM) and General Motors (NYSE: GM) as the world’s largest car company. According to the Sunday Times, “To those who suggest that closing a 3m vehicle gap (Toyota produced 9.4m last year) is a very tall order, company management explains that, in 2006, the number of conventional passenger cars made by Volkswagen and Toyota was fairly similar — 5.2m for Volkswagen and 5.5m for Toyota — and that the difference is made up by 4×4s, ‘people carriers’ and light trucks.”

Volkswagen only recently introduced a full range of these multi-purpose vehicles, which will play an important part in its future growth

VW may find that things don’t go as planned. As a new entrant to the pick-up and SUV markets, the company will find global competition for not just Toyota and GM, but also Ford (NYSE: F), Nissan, and Honda (NYSE: HMC). Most large countries also have local car manufacturers who may not be anxious to give up a large piece of their business.

While VW may have a chance to get a reasonable piece of the auto sales in huge countries like China, it has almost no market share in the world’s largest car-buying nation, the U.S. Taking away business from a desperate company like Ford and a successful company like Toyota may be nearly impossible.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Research in Motion (RIMM), Technology, NASDAQ

Monday marks the 8th anniversary of the NASDAQ reaching its’ all time high. I remember the day quite clearly as it was a Friday and I got married on that Sunday. From March 10th 2000 to early Oct. 2002, the NASDAQ dropped about 78%, even with a bit of a comeback over the last five years, the index is still sitting over 55% under the all time high.

In fact since the recent high at the end of October, the index has shed more than 22%. What does all this mean? While we may not see a return to all-time NASDAQ highs for another decade, the index has again gotten very cheap. It could be that the index is setting up for a move to the upside. After all, this past Friday, the NASDAQ easily outperformed the DOW, and I think we are going to start seeing a rotation into technology names.

Tech earnings haven’t been to bad. All the pundits will say that with a recession, tech spending will get cut. Go into your nearest Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) store and there are no signs of a recession. Check out the earnings for Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), things look okay. Heck, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is starting to look interesting as a value stock.

It may not happen tomorrow, but for long-term investors, technology maybe a place to think about investing.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/9/08.

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Filed under: Industry, Competitive strategy, China, Boeing Co (BA), Northrop Grumman (NOC)

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) and Airbus go toe to tor for almost very major commercial airline contract in the world. They haul each other into court over international trade practice questions. For pure blood sport, the competition can hardly be matched.

Over the course of the last week, the battle between the two companies moved up a notch as the Air Force gave a $35 billion tanker program to Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC) and EADS, the parent of Airbus. Members of Congress may try to keep the deal with Boeing, and the issue should be messy for several months.

While Boeing and Airbus beat the living daylights out of one another, China is planning to begin to build its own large commercial aircraft. China is one of the biggest markets for the two airplane company leaders, and as the need of big jets there increases, the Asian company was going to be a meal ticket that might last for decades.

Things are not going as planned. According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), “China has confirmed plans to set up a company to make large passenger airplanes.” The paper also writes that Boeing thinks China will need over 3,300 new jets by 2026.

China could be making its own planes by then, leaving Boeing and Airbus to bicker over military contracts.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Research in Motion (RIMM), Technology, NASDAQ

Monday marks the 8th anniversary of the NASDAQ reaching its’ all time high. I remember the day quite clearly as it was a Friday and I got married on that Sunday. From March 10th 2000 to early Oct. 2002, the NASDAQ dropped about 78%, even with a bit of a comeback over the last five years, the index is still sitting over 55% under the all time high.

In fact since the recent high at the end of October, the index has shed more than 22%. What does all this mean? While we may not see a return to all-time NASDAQ highs for another decade, the index has again gotten very cheap. It could be that the index is setting up for a move to the upside. After all, this past Friday, the NASDAQ easily outperformed the DOW, and I think we are going to start seeing a rotation into technology names.

Tech earnings haven’t been to bad. All the pundits will say that with a recession, tech spending will get cut. Go into your nearest Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) store and there are no signs of a recession. Check out the earnings for Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), things look okay. Heck, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is starting to look interesting as a value stock.

It may not happen tomorrow, but for long-term investors, technology maybe a place to think about investing.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer’s fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/9/08.

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Filed under: Industry, Competitive strategy, China, Boeing Co (BA), Northrop Grumman (NOC)

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) and Airbus go toe to tor for almost very major commercial airline contract in the world. They haul each other into court over international trade practice questions. For pure blood sport, the competition can hardly be matched.

Over the course of the last week, the battle between the two companies moved up a notch as the Air Force gave a $35 billion tanker program to Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC) and EADS, the parent of Airbus. Members of Congress may try to keep the deal with Boeing, and the issue should be messy for several months.

While Boeing and Airbus beat the living daylights out of one another, China is planning to begin to build its own large commercial aircraft. China is one of the biggest markets for the two airplane company leaders, and as the need of big jets there increases, the Asian company was going to be a meal ticket that might last for decades.

Things are not going as planned. According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), “China has confirmed plans to set up a company to make large passenger airplanes.” The paper also writes that Boeing thinks China will need over 3,300 new jets by 2026.

China could be making its own planes by then, leaving Boeing and Airbus to bicker over military contracts.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Filed under: SEC filings, Interviews, Private equity

Equities are ailing. And yes, the IPO market is basically dead.

But there is a bright spot: Special Purpose Acquisition Corporations (known as SPACs). Essentially, this is a new-fangled public offering.

So, what’s going on here?

Well, I had a chance to interview Andre Peschong, who is a veteran investment banker and has his own blog, Deal Flow Diaries.

What is a SPAC? The structure?

A SPAC is really an updated and cleaned up version of the old blind pool or blank check company. Basically, these SPACs are formed around qualified management teams that typically have a depth of knowledge in certain areas of business or industry. The SPAC structures are all fairly uniform but of late have been changing due to a number of items, such as market conditions, investor demands and SEC regulations.

The management team usually buys into the SPAC for some nominal amount — relative to the total raise — and receives for that a “promote,” which is their equity benefit. That promote is not more than 20% and can actually be scaled back relative to getting a transaction closed.

Continue reading No slack with SPACs

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