Archive for May 25th, 2008

Filed under: Oil, Headline news

The New York Times reports that people are changing their habits thanks to $4 a gallon gasoline. Surprisingly, gasoline is not consuming as much of the family budget now as it did in 1979, but those high gas prices are hurting. Some people, me included, are skipping their traditional Memorial Day vacation — opting instead for what AP dubs a Staycation.

People are certainly driving less. The Times reports that Americans drove 11 billion fewer miles than in March 2007, a decline of 4.3%. It is the first time since 1979 that traffic has dropped from one March to the next, and the month-on-month percentage decline is the largest since record keeping began in 1942.

And even though families are not paying as much of their income now as they did in 1979, we’re funding our enemies — Saudi Arabia, which supplied 15 of the 19 9/11 hijackers, is the U.S.’s second largest oil provider — 80% more than we were five years ago. Americans spend 3.7% of their disposable income on transportation fuels — that hit a low of 1.9% in 1998 and a high of 4.5% in 1981.

Continue reading $4 a gallon Memorial Day Staycation

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Via [bloggingstocks]

Filed under: Forecasts, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Recession

Warren Buffett continued his tour of Europe, leaving media excitement in his wake. Earlier this week he said the U.S. recession would be deep and long.

To keep the daily excitement going, he made a statement that U.S. banks were to blame for the current credit crisis. According to Reuters, “The banks exposed themselves too much, they took on too much risk …. It’s their fault. There’s no need to blame anyone else,” he said.

While this may be true, it is odd that Buffett uses his search for investments in Europe, which is almost certainly combined with a little vacation time, to give his opinions on the state of the economic world.

If anything, Buffett’s view of the current conditions is marked by pessimism. He was not as negative at the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) annual meeting just a few weeks ago. Either he has too much time on his hands as he travels or he believes that the financial world is falling apart fast.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Via [bloggingstocks]

Filed under: Earnings reports, Conventions and conferences, Annual meetings, Dell (DELL), Marvell Technology Group (MRVL), Polo Ralph Lauren’A’ (RL)

Monday, May 26

  • Markets closed for Memorial Day holiday.

Tuesday, May 27

Wednesday, May 28

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Dell and TiVo reporting earnings

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Via [bloggingstocks]

Some of this stuff you simply cannot makeup. At this point, I think the majority of folks have come to realize that any legislation trying to help homeowners and lenders is guided by politics rather than good economics. There is a fascinating incident that occurred where our favorite CEO appears to have […]
Related Posts:
Real Homes of Genius: $1 Million Discount for a 948 Square Foot Long Beach Condo!
Digging into Countrywide: When Half Your Loans are in California and Florida.
The Housing Wave of the Future: Two Main Mortgage Tsunamis.
Foreclosures jump statewide by 40% in California in just one quarter! Welcome to California’s Gold!
When will my home cost me an ARM and a leg?

Some of this stuff you simply cannot makeup. At this point, I think the majority of folks have come to realize that any legislation trying to help homeowners and lenders is guided by politics rather than good economics. There is a fascinating incident that occurred where our favorite CEO appears to have replied to the wrong e-mail. Whoops! We have all witnessed this type of e-mail in our working lives. I recall being Cc’d (carbon copied) on an e-mail with a dozen or so other’s about a colleague’s retirement. One of those on the Cc list accidentally replied to all and wrote “thank god this bi— is out!” clearly intending the e-mail go to one of her contacts on the list and obviously not to the main retiree. Hilarity ensued after that.

Here is the rundown:

  1. 1. Borrower takes out a loan with Countrywide
  2. 2. Borrower has problem paying loan back
  3. 3. Borrower e-mails numerous Countrywide e-mail addresses including Angelo Mozilo about a loan modification.
  4. 4. CEO forwards message to correct party.
  5. 5. Sends another message stating that he suspects folks are using form e-mails and ends the message with “disgusting.”
  6. 6. E-mail not intended for all to see.
  7. 7. E-mail now public
  8. 8. Hilarity ensues.

The original post was made over on a Loansafe.org forum where borrowers in trouble were trying to get advice on the best way to go about doing loan modifications. Loss mitigation is a treacherous road to go down for the uninitiated so this borrower sought out help and found a community of others online. Here is the message sent back to the borrower from Mr. Mozilo:

“To Angelo_Mozilo@countrywide.com
cc
Subject Re: bailey acct# xxxxxxxxxx
Interesting to find that you think my letter is disgusting. I will send this on….

Angelo_Mozilo@countrywide.com wrote:

This is unbelievable. Most of these letters now have the same wording. Obviously they are being counseled by some other person or by the internet. Disgusting.”

You really need to read the entire thread. There needs to be a mandate that all CEOs have the reply to all button removed from their Outlook e-mail accounts. Clearly this borrower was qualified enough to land a Countrywide mortgage but now they find it “disgusting” that someone in distress is asking for help? The Los Angeles Times is all over this puppy:

“Apparently clicking “reply” when he meant to hit “forward,” Countrywide Financial Corp. Chairman Angelo Mozilo ignited an online furor Tuesday by describing a mortgage customer’s plea for help as a “disgusting” example of form letters inundating the Calabasas home lender.

Mozilo’s e-mail rocketed back to the customer, Daniel Bailey Jr., who had asked Countrywide to modify the terms of his loan so he wouldn’t lose his home of 16 years…

…Bailey and Mozilo couldn’t be reached for comment. Late in the day, the lender issued this statement: “Countrywide and Mr. Mozilo regret any misunderstanding caused by his inadvertent response to an e-mail by Mr. Bailey. Countrywide is actively working to help borrowers, like Mr. Bailey, keep their homes.”

This is another X-factor with the internet that tiny incidents like this can go viral even before the public relations department can devise a strategy to react. You really have to love that response from Countrywide and I bet they regret that “misunderstanding” from this e-mail. My other observation is that Mozilo seems to be rather accessible if he is dealing with e-mails straight from the public.

Let us Remember Enron Tapes

Flaps like this happen all the time. People forget why they teach aspiring shady folks through the movies to use public pay phones and stay off e-mail or anything that is written. You know how we feel about this entire housing market debacle and what has been going on through the decade should be enough evidence to put tons of people away behind bars. Yet sometimes the thing that opens the public flood gates of anger is arrogance. Let us remember those Enron tapes given that it is appropriate with the ever increasing price of energy:

(CBS) When a forest fire shut down a major transmission line into California, cutting power supplies and raising prices, Enron energy traders celebrated, CBS News Correspondent Vince Gonzales reports.

“Burn, baby, burn. That’s a beautiful thing,” a trader sang about the massive fire.

Four years after California’s disastrous experiment with energy deregulation, Enron energy traders can be heard - on audiotapes obtained by CBS News - gloating and praising each other as they helped bring on, and cash-in on, the Western power crisis.

“He just f—s California,” says one Enron employee. “He steals money from California to the tune of about a million.”

“Will you rephrase that?” asks a second employee.

“OK, he, um, he arbitrages the California market to the tune of a million bucks or two a day,” replies the first…”

Bwahaha. Oh that is funny! Do you get that humor? The poor masses get screwed and these traders make money. It is like a reverse Robin Hood. They won’t call it screwing you over but they’ll label it arbitrage. Kind of like labeling toxic destructive waste mortgages as Pay Option ARMs. Let us read a little more of what these comedians had to say:

“They’re f——g taking all the money back from you guys?” complains an Enron employee on the tapes. “All the money you guys stole from those poor grandmothers in California?”

“Yeah, grandma Millie, man”

“Yeah, now she wants her f——g money back for all the power you’ve charged right up, jammed right up her a—— for f——g $250 a megawatt hour.”

And the tapes appear to link top Enron officials Ken Lay and Jeffrey Skilling to schemes that fueled the crisis.

“Government Affairs has to prove how valuable it is to Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling,” says one trader.

“Ok.”

Fantastic rhetoric! Falls on the ears like Shakespeare. This is the problem with letting folks run lose like a bunch of drunken sailors. Their actions behind their computer terminals have massive impacts in the real world. They should be punished as such. There is a fantastic hour-long radio show talking about the entire housing debacle over at This American Life. You really need to listen to the entire thing. We have a young college grad in the mortgage industry bragging about his $50,000 to $75,000 a month pay checks while partying with B-list celebrities like Terra Reid and drinking thousand dollar bottles of Kristal. He is now back at home looking to walkaway from his mortgage. Easy come easy go. Let us recall a bit more of those Enron tapes just to remember how corrupt unmitigated gambling can get:

“It’d be great. I’d love to see Ken Lay Secretary of Energy,” says one Enron worker.

That didn’t happen, but they were sure President Bush would fight any limits on sky-high energy prices.

“When this election comes Bush will f——g whack this s–t, man. He won’t play this price-cap b——t.”

Crude, but true.”

And there you have it. Sort of reminds you of when Ameriquest dumped mortgage documents straight into the garbage:

ameriquest.jpg

*Click to watch amazing sophisticated mortgage security.

All this courtesy of the folks that brought you the credit and housing bubble. Now that is truly disgusting.

Did You Enjoy The Post? Subscribe to Dr. Housing Bubble’s Blog to get updated housing commentary, analysis, and information

Related Posts:
Real Homes of Genius: $1 Million Discount for a 948 Square Foot Long Beach Condo!
Digging into Countrywide: When Half Your Loans are in California and Florida.
The Housing Wave of the Future: Two Main Mortgage Tsunamis.
Foreclosures jump statewide by 40% in California in just one quarter! Welcome to California’s Gold!
When will my home cost me an ARM and a leg?

Via [DrHousingBubble]

I just found out about PolicyMap a new service that lets you map an insane amount of data by region on all subjects ranging from mortgage originations, neighborhood crime stats and income demographics (and tons more).  This could become a killer tool for homeowners looking to buy a home and for real estate agents and mortgage originators to use for everything from farming to advising clients.  It can also be used by lenders to make risk assesments on properties and more.

Since I’m a tech geek at heart this site really appeals to me and could become a useful tool for you.  It’s also an interesting toy to play around with to learn a bit about your neighborhood.

I pulled the below graph for Walnut Creek, CA that shows the percent of all purchase loans in the area that were made with subprime piggyback second financing.  This data is pulled from lender’s HMDA reporting and broken down by census tract.

Let’s not overlook the scary fact that in 2006 more than 55% of all subprime purchase loans in the purple areas had piggyback 2nds.  Of course this means that half of the subprime home purchases in these areas were made with zero down payment.

Here’s the legend:

Source [blownmortgage]

Filed under: Deals, Internet, Competitive strategy, Google (GOOG), Yahoo! (YHOO), Politics

naThe BBC reported on Saturday that demands are being made for careful government scrutiny of any potential alliances between Internet giants Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG).

According to the BBC report, a coalition of activist groups including the Black Leadership Forum, the League of Rural Voters, the National Black Chamber of Commerce, and the American Agriculture Movement, is concerned that allowing any kind of unregulated working relationship between Yahoo and Google could put Internet neutrality in serious jeopardy. Gary Flowers, representing the Black Leadership Forum, is quoted by BBC as stating, “We all suffer in such mega mergers.” He further stated that the nature of such a partnership could “condense competition, increase prices and limit new business opportunity on the Internet.”

The BBC indicates that the Justice Department is already in the process of reviewing joint operation trials that the two companies have engaged in. However, the department seems to be down playing the citizen coalition’s demands, citing that the two companies have no working agreements to address. At a recently held Google shareholders meeting the matter was addressed by Chairman Eric Schmidt who stated, “If there were a deal [with Yahoo], we would anticipate structuring the deal to address the antitrust concerns that have been widely discussed.”

I would tend to echo the valid concerns of Gary Flowers: too much control over Internet communications by any one particular entity or alliance would inevitably be bad for all of us. I think the matter needs to be taken to a broader base of examination than the justice department alone can provide.

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