Archive for October 5th, 2008

Valleywag has the story on Honeywell CEO Dave Cote’s email to all 122,000 employees encouraging them to support the housing bail out.  Why you ask?  Because Honeywell, like many other large firms, leverage the short-term commercial paper market to manage cash flow and operation expenses.  This market has effectively stopped working and CEO’s like Cote (and GE’s Immelt) are hoping that they don’t have to tap credit lines to fund ops while the commercial paper market is frozen.  

Tapping credit lines would make investors nervous, putting pressure on their stock prices and increasing borrowing costs (a nice, little vicious cycle).

Of course you wouldn’t want to come right out with your ulterior motive, so instead make it a play for Main Street and hope your butt gets saved by the folks that are going to get screwed the most.

From Valleywag:

Why is Dave Cote telling Honeywell’s 122,000 employees to call Congress and ask them to vote for the $700 billion Wall Street bailout? The high-tech manufacturing giant makes its money far from Wall Street, on building electronics and airplane parts. But where the credit crisis hits the heartland the hardest is a market for what’s called commercial paper — short-term loans made to large corporations to fund their daily operations. It provides the cash that smoothes over the gaps between when supplies get bought and employees get paid and when customers pony up.

Source [blownmortgage]

Filed under: Law, Bank of America (BAC)

A Miami bankruptcy judge ruled that the U.S. Trustee Program, an arm of the Justice Department that oversees bankruptcy court related issues, cannot seek sanctions against Countrywide Financial in bankruptcy court. The U.S. Trustee had filed three lawsuits on behalf of debtors (WSJ subscription required) who had allegedly been “abused” by Countrywide during the bankruptcy process.

The judge, A. Jay Cristol, ruled that only federal prosecutors can bring such lawsuits, while still commending the agency for “noble intentions and efforts to protect the public from reprehensible conduct by an apparently overreaching mortgage lender.”

The next step will hopefully be for federal prosecutors to take on the company. Countrywide, which is now owned by Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), is still facing a plethora of litigation from its former shareholders and customers. Given the continued meltdown in the mortgage industry since the deal closed, it seems likely that Bank of America overpaid badly for the lender. The millions that Bank of America will have to put up for legal expenses, settlements, and possible judgements also won’t help, and that’s to say nothing of the distraction it creates for the company’s executives.

 

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The U.S. Treasury is considering a new, special dollar to be printed to help finance the housing bail out.  Initial prints have been leaked to select media outlets.  We were lucky to get our hands on the new design (h/t Graeme):

 

Source [blownmortgage]

Filed under: Comfort Zone Investing, Politics, Financial Crisis

Ted Allrich is the founder of The Online Investor and author of the book: Comfort Zone Investing: Build Wealth and Sleep Well at Night. In this weekly column, he’ll offer advice to investors who are just getting started.

The bill to buy assets from banks and other institutions, just passed by the House and the Senate, is not a bailout for them. Now we can look forward to some liquidity flowing into the markets. And here are the benefits of the bill:

First, it doesn’t simply throw money at a huge problem, and it certainly doesn’t buy pools of mortgages or securities at values that are above market, at least it’s not supposed to. What it does do is give the Treasury the authority, limited at first, to buy certain types of securities with stipulations attached. The first one is that the assets are purchased by negotiation and at prices determined by the buyer, not the seller. If the government uses the best minds from the mortgage markets, especially in the fixed income and mortgage-backed securities fields, there will be professional valuations done on each purchase.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Don’t call this a bailout

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Filed under: Deals, Competitive strategy, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO)

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) agreed to delay their advertising sales partnership while the Justice Department reviews the deal. The news may look like a retreat by Google, but it undermines one of the key reasons Yahoo! gave for staying independent from Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT). Google was going to improve Yahoo!’s revenue.

It looks like there is some chance the partnership will not happen at all. That would justify the fact that Yahoo!’s stock is down by more than half from its 52-week high. Yahoo! indicated that the wait might be short. “The companies have agreed to a brief delay in implementing this agreement to continue our ongoing discussions with the (U.S.) Department of Justice,” Yahoo! said in a statement. “We have had discussions with regulators and look forward to responding to their questions about this agreement.”

The trouble is that Justice can take its own time. It’s under no pressure to give an answer in short order. The news also begs the question of whether the two companies will wait for antitrust reviews in the EU and Canada.

Each day that passes without Yahoo! having a sales relationship in place with Google is a day its earnings do not recover.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

 

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Washington Mutual also known as WaMu, failed Thursday making it the biggest savings and loan failure in the history of our country.  What makes this event more astounding that it comes on the heels of stalled bailout talks regarding the absurd and poorly planned $700 billion bailout package.  A recent CBS News and New York […]
Related Posts:
The Silent Economic Depression: Lessons from the Great Depression Part XIX: Revising the Economic Past.
Housing Bailout Bill Failure: Examining the Boondoggle Legislation and Populist Uprising against Wall Street. 5 Reason the Bill failed and 5 Easy to Implement Solutions that can be Used Today.
Washington Mutual: WaMu up to Bat. 11 Bank Failures for 2008. 8,430 Still out There. Southern California Housing to Ben Bernanke: Do we Qualify for a Bailout?
Real Homes of Genius: Today we Salute you Glendale. When Prime is no Longer Prime and WaMu Dilution.
California Housing Report: Southern California Inventory Dropping but Foreclosures Keep Coming. Los Angeles and Orange Counties Plagued with Problems.

Washington Mutual also known as WaMu, failed Thursday making it the biggest savings and loan failure in the history of our country.  What makes this event more astounding that it comes on the heels of stalled bailout talks regarding the absurd and poorly planned $700 billion bailout package.  A recent CBS News and New York Times poll shows that only 16 percent of people actually think the plan is a good idea.  If that is the case, why are politicians pushing so hard to get this thing rammed down the throats of Americans?  Could it actually be that tomorrow is the target adjournment date and many of these politicians simply want to go back to their districts to campaign?

House of Reps

As many of you remember with the collapse of IndyMac Bank on July 11th of this year, all the media headlines had this running as a top story for nearly a week.  WaMu fails and it is a footnote on the stalled bailout talks.  We are now dealing with multiple fires all at once.  Let us first discuss some history of Washington Mutual before we discuss the failure of the S & L.

WaMu - History

wamu.png

WaMu was founded in 1889 and was initially called the Washington National Building Loan and Investment Association.  At the time of the formation, Seattle was in tatters after a major fire had nearly destroyed the city and put the economy in a difficult situation.  The bank in one respect was setup as an attempt to help the local economy.  The first loan made by WaMu was in 1890 and of course happened on the West Coast.

Over time WaMu started to grow.  Showing business savvy and ultimate marketing prowess, over the next 50 years WaMu pioneered cash machine networks and telephone banking.  In fact, this early start in machines to easily access money served them well when they decided to go nuts and create a virtual ATM which clients were able to attach to their own home and suck every dime and nickel from their home equity.  One of the their initial slogans was “The Friend of the Family” which ironically has little to do with toxic pay option mortgages.  

In 1983 WaMu bought Murphey Favre a brokerage firm and by 1989 its assets had doubled.  Purchasing subprime credit issuer Providian in October 2005 for $6.5 billion may have not been such a smart deal especially when they paid prime dollar at the peak of the market insanity.

Serious problems started hitting WaMu as the United States housing market started to collapse.  Not only was this bad news for WaMu, but it also didn’t help that Washington Mutual made a large amount of pay option ARM loans in California and Florida:

wamu-option-arm-by-area.png

In December of 2007 WaMu closed 160 of their 336 home-loan offices resulting in 2,600 people being laid off.  Things only got progressively worse from there.  In April 2008 WaMu took a $7 billion cash infusion from TPG Capital out of Texas to stay afloat.  How well did that work out?  Let us take a look:

WaMu stock

The company went from having a market cap of $62.3 billion to $753 million in one year.  That is definitely not a way to run a company.  As time went on WaMu could not fend off the issues it had with its loan portfolios.  The losses kept on mounting over and over.  On September 25 federal regulators took over WaMu’s assets and sold them off to JP Morgan Chase & Company and many of the directors at WaMu were kept in the dark about the announcement.  The FDIC made that pretty official on their site:

FDIC

JP Morgan acquired WaMu for $1.9 billion with all assets and retail branches.  What is more fascinating about this situation is that JP Morgan released during their press conference their expectation of the toxic loan portfolio and in this information, they gave us a little perspective on the future of the California housing market:

JP Morgan Chase

Right off the bat they are expecting to write-down approximately $31 billion in the toxic loan portfolio.  Yet they have a few different scenarios that can play out:

JP Morgan WaMu

*Calculated Risk

JP Morgan is estimating that California from peak to trough will drop 44%!  That is assuming things stay as they are.  If we hit a deep recession, they are predicting a drop of 48%.  Should we hit a severe recession, the number would jump to 58%!  Even Dr. Housing Bubble is surprised by the doom and gloom in those numbers.  I don’t rule that out but it is something else hearing JP Morgan come out and publicly make that prediction.  Again, the current economic situation in California is horrible.  Our unemployment rate is 7.7% and JP Morgan announced a closing of branches which of course will lead to more layoffs in the state:

ca-unemployment1.jpg

When IndyMac Bank failed, they had no buyers and it ate into the FDIC fund to the tune of $8.9 billion.  The FDIC is adamant that no one will lose money here (aside from the shareholders and bondholders).  With this one move, JP Morgan Chase WaMu and [insert blank] will now be the 2nd leader in retail banking and number 1 in deposits:

retail-jpm.jpg

The big are swallowing the small.  That is if you can consider WaMu with $309 billion in assets and 44,000+ employees small.  This move by JP Morgan is smart.  It gives them a major stake in the west coast.  I’m not sure who they are going to get money from since many people went broke with toxic WaMu loans.  In fact, they now will be one of the large contenders here in California:

jpm-sate.jpg

Like Bank of America buying Merrill Lynch to have a stake in the investment banking world, JP Morgan now has a major stake in retail banking.  I wonder if they’ll keep that Wooo Hoo campaign going?  One thing to consider is that fewer and fewer banks are getting bigger and bigger.  In fact, JP Morgan tells us in their presentation that one of their motives for doing this move is “cross selling” more products to customers:

jp-cross-sell.jpg

Think of what occurred with Bank of America buying out Countrywide Financial, one of the pioneers in the subprime game.  These banks are buying up more and more and it looks like we are going to have 3 or 4 major banks that will provide all services to clients from investments, credit cards, deposits, checking, mortgages, auto loans, and everything debt related.  Can you imagine what will happen if one of these 4 gets into a troubled spot?  Do you see any conflicts of interest?

WaMu was a sitting duck.  They made absurd loans and simply had no sustainable model.  My guess given the current derailment of the $700 billion bailout program in D.C. is that this move is intended to light a fire in Washington.  Why not wait until the typical Friday night?  After all, every other bank failure this year occurred on a Friday night.  Was WaMu in such bad shape it couldn’t wait one more day?  Of course not.  This feels more like a move to scare the public from that 16% opposition to a more palatable number.  I think most Americans are now hyper aware of the shady tactics being employed by those on the hill.  They do not want this bailout plan.  They do not understand nor do they want it.  In fact, some are ready for the unexpected even if we don’t have a plan.  Look what happened here with WaMu.  A very clean and orderly demise.  Heck, it cost the FDIC $0!

Representatives are listening to your calls and letters.  Here again are the links to reach your local representative:

Write your Representative

Write your Senator

If you do not find your representative, contact another one.  The majority of Americans do not want this corporate welfare bill.  This bill will do nothing to help the average American family.  $700 billion bailout bill and they can’t even explain how the money will be spent.  Is it any wonder a 119 year old institution like WaMu, the biggest S & L in the country just went down with a wimper?

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Washington Mutual Failure and Collapse: WaMu Largest Savings and Loan Failure in U.S. History. The Rise and Fall of Washington Mutual.

Related Posts:
The Silent Economic Depression: Lessons from the Great Depression Part XIX: Revising the Economic Past.
Housing Bailout Bill Failure: Examining the Boondoggle Legislation and Populist Uprising against Wall Street. 5 Reason the Bill failed and 5 Easy to Implement Solutions that can be Used Today.
Washington Mutual: WaMu up to Bat. 11 Bank Failures for 2008. 8,430 Still out There. Southern California Housing to Ben Bernanke: Do we Qualify for a Bailout?
Real Homes of Genius: Today we Salute you Glendale. When Prime is no Longer Prime and WaMu Dilution.
California Housing Report: Southern California Inventory Dropping but Foreclosures Keep Coming. Los Angeles and Orange Counties Plagued with Problems.

Via [DrHousingBubble]

Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Politics

In an interview with Reuters, Senator John McCain mentioned Warren Buffett and former eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) CEO Meg Whitman as possible choices to succeed Hank Paulson as Treasury secretary: “I think it would be someone that Americans would recognize that would inspire trust and confidence. There’s people like (Cisco chief executive) John Chambers, there’s people like Meg Whitman, there’s people like Warren Buffett.”

That certainly would be interesting as, in addition to being the greatest financial mind in the world ever, Buffett is also a hardcore Democrat and a supporter of Senator Barack Obama.

It’s also almost inconceivable that Buffett would leave Omaha and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) to go wrestle pigs in Washington. Buffett’s pledge of substantially all of his fortune to the William and Melinda Gates Foundation demonstrates his commitment to charity and improving the world but there is nothing in Buffett’s history to indicate he would want to spend his days devoted to matters of public policy: he enjoys investing.

So why would McCain bring it up? He probably just wants to look more competent and open-minded on matters of economic policy — and name-dropping Buffett is easy because he knows nothing will ever come of it.

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