Archive for November 12th, 2009

Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Obama Picks

In his Ticker Tape Digest, technician Leo Fasciocco looks for “breakout” stocks; his latest feature is HMS Holdings (HMSY), which coordinates benefits for government healthcare programs.

“With annual revenues of $185 million, HMSY helps ensure that healthcare claims are paid correctly and by the responsible party.

“As a result of the company’s services, government healthcare programs recover over $1 billion annually and avoid billions of dollars more in erroneous payments.

Continue reading HMS Holdings (HSMY): Breakout in health care

HMS Holdings (HSMY): Breakout in health care originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Nov 2009 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Via [bloggingstocks]

Filed under: Management, Bank of America (BAC)

Bank of America (BAC) is in the midst of a frantic search for a CEO to succeed Ken Lewis, who is stepping down before the end of the year.

In an article on Bank of America’s murky succession plan, USA Today buries this newsworthy factoid seven paragraphs down. From the “You can’t make this stuff up” department:

BofA Chairman Walter Massey, who is leading the search, is currently on vacation on a ship and will not be reachable until Nov. 23, according to Morehouse College, where Massey is president emeritus.

Continue reading Bank of America chairman sails away while company seeks new CEO

Bank of America chairman sails away while company seeks new CEO originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Nov 2009 12:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Via [bloggingstocks]


Reading the news for the last two weeks you would either think the government has the credit crisis in control after hitting its 500,000 trial loan modifications or that there is no hope after seeing the rise in prime mortgage foreclosures and the rise in unemployment.

The truth is that nobody really knows what is going on right now in the economic arena. Last week Citigroup lowered their “emergency fund” for bad or non performing loans which surprised analysts that fail to find evidence of an improvement of credit payment ability.
Loan modifications can be a great solution for some. For others it is not a possibility or simple will setback the inevitable with hard earned tax dollars.

Loan modifications are not for everybody because loan modifications can only “attack” certain causes of high loan payments, namely high interest rates, length of tenure, interest stability  and principal payment structure.

This means that if you already have a long mortgage (30 or 40 years), it is a fixed mortgage (as opposed the a variable or ATM mortgage) and low interest rates there is not much a loan modification can do for you because you already have a “good deal”.
All is not lost though. There is one option left open for you that might just be the difference between foreclosure and saving your home, and that is balloon payments.

What is a balloon payment?

Balloon payments are a kind of interest break your mortgage provider gives you so your monthly interest payments are not so high. Let’s explain with a simple example. Imagine you owe your bank $100,000 your interest rate is around 3% which means you will pay around (probably a little less)  $3,000 interest the first year. However what your bank or mortgage provider can do in order to lower your interest payments and therefore your mortgage payment is defer a portion of your principal to the end of the mortgage “forgiving” the interest on this amount until the end of the mortgage. Going back to our little example, your bank might defer $20,000 leaving you with “only” $80,000 to pay for, dropping your first year interest payments by over $600. We have oversimplified this example heavily, but you get the idea.

The only catch with this option is that you are leaving yourself a lot of principal to pay till the end of your mortgage. If you are planning to sell your home in the near future this might not be a problem. But if you want to keep it long term you are going to have to find the way to pay the “balloon payment” once your mortgage tenure is over.

Balloon payments can be used as yet another tool to reduce your monthly payments by combining it with other options that might be open to you. Research all your options and contact an expert. Experts will not cost you money because the government is providing the best advice for free.

Related posts:

  1. Creative Ways a Loan Modification Lowers Your Monthly Payments
  2. Are mortgage modifications cost effective
  3. Loan Modifications, The Truth Behind The Spin

Related posts:

  1. Creative Ways a Loan Modification Lowers Your Monthly Payments
  2. Are mortgage modifications cost effective
  3. Loan Modifications, The Truth Behind The Spin

Source [blownmortgage]

Filed under: Stocks to Buy, Waste Management Inc. (WMI)

The U.S. and global recycling trend has not only continued - its intensifying. In fact, communities are starting to shift from a theory of ‘low waste’ to a theory of ‘no waste’ - recycle or reuse everything, which is why I’m Reiterating my Buy rating for Waste Management (WM), first recommended on March 25, 2009 at a price of $25.74. If you bought WM in March, you’re up about 26%.

Waste Management posted Q3 EPS of 54 cents, 1 cent above the First Call Q3 EPS estimate of 53c. Institutional investors (IIs) are looking past WM’s likely 2-4% revenue decline in 2009 to volume growth in 2010, as demand for both trash and recycling services increases as the U.S. economic recovery gains steam. The First Call FY2009/FY2010 EPS estimates for WM are $1.95 to $2.13.

Continue reading Waste Management: Waste little, profit much

Waste Management: Waste little, profit much originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Nov 2009 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Via [bloggingstocks]

Filed under: International markets, Recession

A word to the wise: Investors should ignore and/or avoid those in the popular press who rush forward with pronouncements about the dollar vis-à-vis the world’s other, major currencies.

Sometimes you’ll see them on the 24-hour cable news channels at night on FoxNews (NWS), CNN (TWX), and MSNBC (GE). Their research is often simplistic at best, and at times, it’s outright wrong.

One common, conventional wisdom articulation concerns the dollar, and it’s ‘imminent collapse.’ Nothing could be further from the truth. But that’s the type of flippant conclusion one gets when one uses superficial analysis, as in ‘U.S. budget deficit up, U.S. dollar down.’

Continue reading U.S. budget deficit up, dollar down? Well, not always

U.S. budget deficit up, dollar down? Well, not always originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Nov 2009 17:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Via [bloggingstocks]

I have been covering the option ARM fiasco for a very long time now and as I have highlighted before, this is very much a California problem.  Apparently I’m not the only one that has realized that option ARMs are a ticking time bomb just waiting to go off.  None other than our own […]

I have been covering the option ARM fiasco for a very long time now and as I have highlighted before, this is very much a California problem.  Apparently I’m not the only one that has realized that option ARMs are a ticking time bomb just waiting to go off.  None other than our own attorney general, Jerry Brown is going after the top option ARM banks and servicers.  He has a few of the same questions that we have.  How in the world are banks going to deal with the coming recasts?  Have banks done anything since the crisis has started in addressing these loans?  Inquiring minds would like to know.

The AG has been busy in the last year.  He went after toxic mortgage poster child Countrywide successfully and recently, has gone after State Street.  Jerry Brown recently came on CNBC regarding State Street:

cnbc jerry brown

Source:  Zero Hedge

If anything, the AG is one of the few people that is actually going after the crony bankers and Wall Street for their financial robbery against the U.S.  We should be saluting the AG for this.  Instead, CNBC with their typical pandering and cheerleading for Wall Street tries to make a mockery out of the interview:

“I don’t dispute that $56 million is a lot of money, I don’t dispute the merits of the suit but you had a big press conference, you’re coming on C….N….B….C…. all this surrounding publicity over this $56 million, what do you say to people who look at this and say this is a perfect example of the demagoguery that attorney generals [sic] use when they want to run for governor.”

This is precisely what is fundamentally wrong with the financial press.  Here we have a public official who has gone after Countrywide, is going after State Street, and is now openly questioning the practice regarding option ARMs that are arguably the worst loan products ever devised and CNBC has the gall to mock him for “$56 million” because in their journalistic circles, this is a tiny amount that only the proletariat would worry about.  Contrary to their comrade circles, $56 million is a lot of money plus, there is the need to stop the financial thievery that has engulfed this country.  Who else is going after these institutions legally?  I realize that next year is a big election year and Jerry Brown is the front leading Democrat but come on financial press, we should be seeking out folks like this and Elizabeth Warren who are actually on the side of the consumer.

So what is in the letter you ask?

jerry brown letter 1

letter 2

As I just recently noted and the AG recognizes, most of the options ARMs are here in California.  We also recognize that nothing has really been done to remedy this issue.  The AG is merely asking the top 10 bank and servicers of these loans to answer what they have been doing in regards to option ARMs.  They have until November 23rd to respond which is plenty of time for them to type in corporate legalese “we haven’t dun a damn thing AG!”  It’ll be interesting to see what happens since it appears the AG is diverting from the White House and Wall Street plan of extend and pretend and is actually pushing toward principal reductions.  In other words, something banks have been fighting against vehemently.

I appreciate the AG understanding the issue before it implodes and recognizing that this is a major issue for the state.  Sure, some realtor and housing cheerleaders have been ignoring shadow inventory and these toxic mortgages but I’ll side with the AG on this one.  Instead of CNBC thinking $56 million is chump change, I’ll side with people who seem to be fighting on the right side instead of shilling for Wall Street.

And if you think the actual housing insanity is done in California, you have got to get out and smell the roses.  Or if you prefer, you need to get your self into a 400 square foot condo.  Today we salute you Santa Monica with our Real Homes of Genius Award.

Santa Monica – The Westside Miniaturized

The coveted Westside is on the radar of many SoCal blogger readers.  Many forget that SoCal is a gigantic region with over 20 million people.  Some forget that in the Inland Empire, it is easy to find homes between $100,000 to $200,000 yet evidently prices haven’t collapsed in their tiny niche markets so therefore the housing correction never happened.  If we look at the Westside in terms of overall SoCal sales, it is but a tiny fraction of the overall market.  And in this niche online force of readers, many are secretly lusting over their piece of Santa Monica real estate.  Well the wait might be over for you my friend!

sm-1

I pulled this place up on Zillow and it is listed at 390 square feet (ZipRealty has it at 400 square feet).  Now really, are we going to argue about 10 square feet?  The only one that may have an objection to this number might be your pet cat but otherwise, we are talking a rather small location.

Officially there is no bedroom on this place.  It does have 1 bathroom which is useful in a home.  For $258,900 I think most of us would expect that at the very minimum.  But of course, this condo has the obligatory HGTV paraphernalia:

sm-2

The place has been listed on the MLS for 179 days.  Now you would expect anything under $300,000 to fly off the shelf in Santa Monica but it might be hard to show that you are a certified “baller” when you bring your date back to a 400 square foot condo.  In the battle of location versus size, what will come out ahead?  Only in Westside would you have these kind of battles.

At least we know that we have a bathroom though:

sm-3

I may not be doing this place justice.  Let us read the ad:

“Amazing asking price for this charming cottage style bungalow in the heart of santa monica. Subject to lende’r approval but approval is now in final stages of full approval and is imminent!! Do not miss, second & final negotiator has established this acceptance price!! Unit overflows with light and charm,bamboo floors,new eat-in kitchen with granite counters and new cabinetry.All new bath with pedestal sink & tiled floors. Huge private outdoor patio with redwood fence.Garaged parking space.”

Huge private outdoor patio?  Bamboo floors?  Granite countertops?  Where do I sign!  One small thing of course.  This is freaking 400 square feet for $258,900!  You’d get more room by getting a roommate and a regular apartment.  Let us assume we decide to buy this place with a FHA insured loan and 3.5 percent down:

Down payment:            $9,061.50

Monthly PITI:               $1,726

Now is this place worth it?  You tell me.  As a bachelor gig to show the “310” this might not be bad, but certainly no family is going into a 400 square foot place.  The price is certainly doable for Santa Monica.  Yet you have to ask whether this price will hold in the long-term.

In many other places in the country with $258,900 you’ll be getting a nice McMansion.  But this is California and as we have shown with option ARMs, we do things very differently here.

Today we salute you Santa Monica with our Real Homes of Genius Award.

Did You Enjoy The Post? Subscribe to Dr. Housing Bubble’s Blog to get updated housing commentary, analysis, and information.

Post from: Dr. Housing Bubble Blog

Real Homes of Genius: $258,900 for a Condo in Santa Monica? One Catch. It is 400 Square Feet. Attorney General Has Eyes Set on Option ARMs.

Via [DrHousingBubble]


As part of the Obama’s administration Making Home Affordable Program (HAMP) name and shame (or praise) initiative, every month a list of banks and mortgage providers is issued. The good banks are praised the bad ones are marked. The idea is to provide an extra incentive for providers to speed up their loan modification procedures.

September’s Loan Modification league showed the winners and losers of the HAMP loan modification league. The league shows the order of the “best” and “worst” banks based on the percentage of loan modifications they carried out, or more accurately, they placed on a trial loan modification, from the total of eligible loans they had to work with.

HAMP Winners Top Ten
1.    Saxon Mortgage Services, Irving, Texas (41%)
2.    Aurora Loan Services, Littleton, Colorado (33%)
3.    Citimortgage, O’Fallon, Missouri (33%)
4.    Nationstar Mortgage, Lewisville, Texas (28%)
5.    JP Morgan Chase, New York, New York (27%)
6.    GMAC Mortgage, Fort Washington, Pennsylvania (26%)
7.    Select Portfolio Servicing, Salt Lake City, Utah (26%)
8.    Wells Fargo Bank, San Francisco, California (20%)
9.    Residential Credit Solutions, Fort Worth, Texas (17%)
10.    Green Tree Servicing, Tempe, Arizona (12%)

What conclusions can we get from this data? It is hard to provide a solid interpretation from such a small selection of banks and mortgage providers but what does seem to jump out of the page is that among the top ten HAMP performers are small banks. In fact it would seem that the number of small banks is disproportionate.
One could reasonably expect that larger banks with a higher volume of loan modifications would be better at putting into play the government’s loan modification process. After all, at least in theory the government is covering the cost (and more) for these modifications. However the opposite seems to be true. Smaller operations seem to have done a better job of redesigning their business to face the increase in loan modification requests.

It is also noteworthy that smaller banks with less loan modifications may have to work less to have a higher success rate. If you have 10 loans to modify you only need to carry out 8 to have an 80 percent rate. However if you have 100,000 to modify… the picture changes. Whatever the case, there does seem to be a lot of room for improvement for the big names in banking that have received so much help from government bailouts.

Those were the winners, what about the losers?
The losers are banks and providers that have not modified any loans at all.

HAMP Losers
1.    American Home Mortgage Servicing, Coppell, Texas
2.    HomeEq Servicing, Sacramento, California
3.    Home Loan Services Inc., Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
4.    MorEquity, Inc., Evansville, Illinois

Related posts:

  1. Loan Modification Hall of Shame, How Bad Is Your Bank
  2. U.S Loan Modifications Hit Obama’s target Early But Nobody’s Impressed
  3. Obamas Loan Modification Success Explained

Related posts:

  1. Loan Modification Hall of Shame, How Bad Is Your Bank
  2. U.S Loan Modifications Hit Obama’s target Early But Nobody’s Impressed
  3. Obamas Loan Modification Success Explained

Source [blownmortgage]

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